Baleforce
Arthur Rowe
It's very very very rare for an xG that high. But the idea of xG is that on average you will hit the xG. So on average we should've hit 5.
Yes, that’s the idea. But the average is raised by highly competent players.
In most games, teams have a higher xG than they do goals scored. United had an xG of one today for example, Qarabag about 4 (3 + 1 pen) on Thursday.
According to Understat, only 4 PL teams are currently outperforming their xG this season.
It’s a rarity.