RVP without a doubt is world class player and our best player of last year. However I think it's the perfect time for us to sell and we will be a better team next year without him and better in the future for these numerous reasons:
We are a self sustainable club, by selling him it will free up money to spend. Business wise, his stock is at it's highest it ever will be. Now I hear the cries 'but the money won't be re-invested, it wasn't last year'. Well we did spend 50million last year and nearly spent more (if the Gotze/M'Vila rumours had truth behind them) and have spent over 20million thus far this year, so yes selling RVP gives us more money to buy players. We should get 20-35million for an injury prone 29 year old. It seems likely we'll also sell Bendtner/Vela for a combined sum of 10-14million. Even if just 10million is re-invested
Yes RVP may be the best striker in the PL at the moment, although I personally think Rooney edges him. However will he be better than Giroud and Podolski in 2 years? Or 3 years? Will his injury prone nature see him play as many games as them? Giroud and Podolski may be on par with him now, Podolski having outperformed him internationally. I remember when Henry was supposed to be a downgrade on Anelka, when Pires was supposed to be a downgrade for Overmars
Lastly RVP is world class but he's also overrated, no this isn't knee jerk, I've said it before. We have a team built around him that allows him to shine that he won't get at other teams
I want to compare some stats and ratios
..........Shots In The League..Goals...Conversion Percentage
RVP........174..................30.............17.2%
Rooney....157...................27..............17.2%
Arguero....130..................23..............17.6%
Dzeko....92...................14..............15.2%
Balotelli..82................13...............15.8%
Cisse....39.................13...............33%
Podolski..85................18...............21.1%
Giroud...160...............21...............13%
What does this tell us? RVP get's more chances than anyone else but isn't more clinical than the best. Why does he get chances, part because of very good movement but largely because the wingers, CAM and midfielders direct the attack through him. What does this mean:
At United/City he will not get near the number of chances he has for us, so he won't get anything like as many goals. He isn't more clinical than the quality of strikers they already have so won't improve them that much, they're not suddenly going to start creating shedloads more chances per game. Yes they will improve, especially United, but I don't think as much as people may think
We have bought 1 striker in Podolski that is more clinical and we've bought another in Giroud who's also been played as a focal point and has the workrate/positioning to get as many chances to get goals as RVP has. There's a possibility these players in the short term could be on par with RVP or even better. Yes they're leagues were weaker (although France is traditionally hard to score goals and Podolski was in a relegation outfit). Giroud also like RVP has 9 assists. Having Podolski play as a left forward or secondary striker alongside him, will make us harder to defend against, Giroud will drag defenders away from Podolski to give him chances and vice versa. Giroud also seems more of a traditional target link up man, which may give him a better partnership with Theo
In the long term Podolski is 27 and Giroud is 25, compared to a 29 year old RVP. Some say RVP will age well because of his technical ability but that's a bit of a gamble and he will slow, he will get less chances and finish more. So I don't think he'll be as good in 2years, never mind 3 or 4 from now. Also we will have 2 World Class strikers and can play the man in form if either of their form slips. RVP's form himself slipped in the run in last year
So in conclusion, our forward options won't be weakened and maybe stronger. Wenger will have the money to bring in a midfielder, either a creative or defensive force, in an ideal world both and a fullback. We also have Wheelchair and don't laugh Diaby coming back. We'll be much stronger than last year. If everyone's worst nightmare comes true and he moves to City, he'll get far less chances as those chances will be more evenly disturbed across their attack and there issues of lack of width and Barry being a bit of weakness might not be addressed. We will be significantly stronger while City won't be that much stronger. This is dependant ofcourse on Wenger been giving the freedom to make spend money and him making the right decisions.
You'll all be amused to hear I have an avatar bet on another forum than Giroud will outscore Andy Carroll this year, he's not even a Liverpool fan, he just thinks Wenger can't pick strikers and Giroud will be another Chamakh. I'm excited for this new season, I have a feeling we could shock everyone next year