BE, I wrote a really long reply to all your points but it's so ridiculously long there's no point in posting it.
So instead I want to bore down on one of your points that I think is key to wrong-headed thinking here.
(Please Note: Everything I say below is on the understanding that I am talking about selecting a coach if we can't get LvG, FdB or Ancelotti. IMO it's less than 50/50 we will, so we need to think about, what then?)
B. I'm not convinced at all that Sherwood's experience at the club is much of a benefit. I think we need a change, not more of the same. I think there's as much of a chance that he's been part of what's been wrong at the club as what's been right over the last years.
1: What is change?
Is "change" bringing in yet another external appointment as we've been doing for 30 years with no success? Or is it appointing youth from within, which we've never done?
It's counter-intuitive, but in my strong opinion Sherwood is
far more of a change candidate than Poch. It only appears the other way around.
Was AVB a change candidate? We hoped so, but it turns out no - it was same old same old. Would LvG or Ancelotti be change candidates? Yes, because we've never had a worldie before. Moyes? No, same old same old. FdB? Yes, because he'd be bringing the Ajax system with him. Appointing youth from within? Change. Taking a punt on Poch? Ballsy, admirable, and I'd be supportive in a vacuum...but change? No. No. Just another punt that might or might not work. Not change.
Changing coach
≠ change. Yes, it
feels like change and it is
literal change, but it is not "change" in the sense you mean it.
2: Our need for a coach is IMMEASURABLY less important than our need for the RIGHT coach
Even more importantly, people seem to be assuming that our need for both change & quality is matched in the market by someone who can deliver it. THAT NEED NOT BE THE CASE.
The best men for our job are LvG, FdB and Ancelotti (and maybe FSW depending on your taste). End of list. You can't be nearly on that list. You're either on it, or you're not. You can't suddenly skip down to choice #4 or #5 (let's say that's Poch) and say: "Oh, because we're picking this guy it axiomatically means we have our "change" messiah!" No, you're picking your #4 or #5 guy. You have a guy, but not
the guy.
This summer's appointment need not be make or break. It's not an all-in. We don't
have to invest our hearts and souls (and a 4 year contact, and £XXm) in some guy just because we can, and then try to pretend to ourselves that at long last he's our saviour. I sense that is what people are trying to convince themselves of when they big up the likes of Poch.
No. All wrong conceptually IMO. We might need to just take a deep breath this summer. If LvG, FdB or Ancelotti won't come, let's just wait for them, or similar. Let's not waste a 4 year contract on hope. If we're going to waste time on hope, better to waste a 1 year contract on the hope of Sherwood and then next summer do our real all-in with the right man.