braineclipse
Steve Sedgley
I think 3rd/4th favourites would have been about right. France are still the team to beat IMO even though we outplayed them. I’d have had Argentina 2nd favourite personally given their Copa America triumph. Not littered with class players but they are very hard to beat. Brazil don’t have a world class striker. Admittedly I was surprised they lost to Croatia, didn’t see that coming. I just think Europe is way head of South America at the moment and we have dominated the last four world cups.
I think all that's certainly fair. But there was quite a bit of uncertainty around France too before the World Cup. Injuries, more or less a brand new midfield, Lloris not at his previous level, Giroud getting on a bit. So can understand people rating Brazil ahead of them. But close, and impossible to know before the tournament actually starts.
For me it's rarely a team that's the favourite, it's several teams. And being the one favourite team only means a somewhat higher likelihood of winning it, still a low probability chance overall. I think the likelihood of whoever one sees as the favourite actually winning gets overstated a lot of the time.