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The midweek/weekend games thread
- Thread starter Greg
- Start date
Leeds Spur
Banned
How noble!! So you know better than the bookies but you have pity on them eh? Decide not to bankrupt them. You couldn't make this brick up!! Actually thinking about it you are!!
africanspurs
Justin Edinburgh
Amazing, 100's of years of systematic gambling rubbished with one man's ideal
i'm going to stick to the people that calculate odds scientifically for a living and just say i definately dont agree with you
The Moonlit Knight
Banned
That I don't gamble on sport? I don't. Too many potentially unknown quantities, e.g. poor official decisions, can effect the outcome.
I'll stick with what I believe in though. Home advantage is an unquantifiable massive advantage. In the Premiership there are no easy away games, which is why I get so irate when I hear arrogant Spurs fans banging on about drawing 0-0 at Sunderland to be a fudging joke result. Losing at home to Norwich was a joke result, but losing against Everton away certainly was not.
The Moonlit Knight
Banned
It's called common sense. A concept I know you struggle with. And the key words are "at this level". Naturally if a Premiership club is playing a League Two club away from home, I'd expect the Premiership club to be favourites.
But bookies do pre-analyse possible betting patterns. Do you think they do not?!
braineclipse
Willie Hall
Google Premier League home tables...
Leeds Spur
Banned
You just said every home team is favourite?? Doesn't sound too uncertain!! Do you actually read your own posts??
braineclipse
Willie Hall
Bookies analyze what they think the likely outcome of games are. They adjust to betting patterns to adjust for possible mistake and lower their variance. But if the betting patterns are different from the expected likely outcome that means the bookies earn money.
The Moonlit Knight
Banned
How noble!! So you know better than the bookies but you have pity on them eh? Decide not to bankrupt them. You couldn't make this brick up!! Actually thinking about it you are!!
I never said I know more than the Bookies. The Bookies play the long game and they'll ensure they don't get hit too hard by freak results as well. If you think that Bookies set their odds based on anything other than past financial analysis then you are clueless on this topic and shouldn't really be trying to debate it.
Leeds Spur
Banned
Of course you know all about sports betting analysis, of course you do. Another one of your many talents no doubt.
The Moonlit Knight
Banned
Don't need to. And it would take me an eternity to go through because to get an accurate figure you'd need 100 years of data. Anything less could be dismissed as variance.
Leeds Spur
Banned
Ooooh diminished variance. Sounds complicated!!
The Moonlit Knight
Banned
Of course you know all about sports betting analysis, of course you do. Another one of your many talents no doubt.
I don't, but other people I have played poker with do. And I'll take their word over yours. Especially as some of them are bookies.
africanspurs
Justin Edinburgh
amazing, and then when you someone makes a little bitty comment you dont like, you run and report them. soooo sneaky with it too LOL
Leeds Spur
Banned
So when are you starting your own sports book then? I'll definitely be looking to get some bets on!!
africanspurs
Justin Edinburgh
Ooooh diminished variance. Sounds complicated!!
hahahahahaaaaaaaa
The Moonlit Knight
Banned
So when are you starting your own sports book then? I'll definitely be looking to get some bets on!!
Like I said, I don't gamble on sports I am not involved in.
Leeds Spur
Banned
Oh so now it's people you've played poker with?? I thought it was complex financial analysis I didn't understand? Sounds like you don't understand either old boy, and it shows.