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Politics, politics, politics

Bottled it a little didn't they, with a change in their methods in the last poll. But they hedged their bets with their other model.

Survation is probably the best pollster, if the exit poll is correct.

The projection model was always an experiment and they made that clear. I think that the methodology for the final poll, giving candidate names, was sound. The UKIP and Green vote felt high because they were standing aside in so many seats.

I was at a conference recently where Bob Worcester, who is the chairman of Mori, spoke. He may well pop up on some of the coverage tonight. He spoke a lot about the strengths and weaknesses of polls but also how they are misrepresented. He was a fascinating speaker. I've met and spoke with a couple of YouGov people before now too.
 
we will have a labour lib dem government that have differing aims, i hope it is one or the other labour or tories otherwise it is going to be a wasted 5 years

but maybe Farage will ride back into town and save the day
 
we will have a labour lib dem government that have differing aims, i hope it is one or the other labour or tories otherwise it is going to be a wasted 5 years

but maybe Farage will ride back into town and save the day

If the exit poll is correct, I think that we will have a minority Tory government supported by the Unionists and then another General Election in the autumn with a new Tory leader.
 
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