Paddy's Latest
Spain 13/5
Germany 3/1
Holland 13/2
France 10/1
England 14/1
Italy 16/1
Portugal 18/1
Russia 22/1
Ukraine 50/1
Croatia 50/1
Poland 50/1
Czech Republic 66/1
Sweden 66/1
Denmark 80/1
Ireland 80/1
Greece 100/1
They're still doing "if Spain wins, you get your money back", right?
If so:
?ú50 on Germany = ?ú150
?ú20 on Holland = ?ú130
?ú10 on France = ?ú100
?ú10 on Italy = ?ú160
?ú10 on Portugal = 180
If Spain win you get your money back, if France win you get the ?ú100 back and ?ú10 stake, if Germany, Holland, Italy or Portugal win, you make decent profit.
If England win, you lose all your money, but you can take that for England to win. (That's about as likely as Croatia winning though.)
The vast majority of teams in this competition simply aren't up to the level of the elite. I think it's highly unlikely that Russia win despite their easy passage forwards, Croatia haven't really got much of a chance thanks to their group being so tough, so it's hard to see how this could go wrong. This is playing it safe though, Portugal are serious outsiders thanks to their group of death and lack of team quality, so if you want to risk them winning it, you could skip that bet, but because they're crazy outsiders the profit from them winning is good.
I haven't covered anyone in Russia's group because they'll be playing the top two out of the group of death in the quarter finals, so it's likely to be Germany and Holland, both teams will have to have got out of the group of death, so shouldn't be playing badly.
As long as they haven't stopped doing the "money back if Spain win" thing, I like these odds.
