And who could blame him? Saved from relegation, 4th, 5th, 4th. Fans calling him a saggy faced **** and that those finishes positions aren't good enough (or in the case of many this year saying 4th is an utter disgrace - actually they said that 5th last year was a disgrace too with "a team that could and should win the league!". Christ on a bike, with those unrealistic expectations from the fans, the hatred from the fans? I'd say fudge it and leave too!!
If they're not good enough why were we so close to the top of the table in January and many points clear of 4th position?
Maybe you'll say Redknapp is the reason but then if you give him credit for the successes he has to take responsibilities for the failures. Yet our position in January proves that we are good enough to be up there and it is therefore not "unrealistic expectations" from the fans that we would stay there. Choking and bottling it at the end of the season and ultimately not being in the CL falls on Redknapp's shoulders. And don't say I'm not giving him credit for the successes because there are none - position in the table in January is not a success but it is indicative of the strength of the team.
On the same token, just because the "majority" thinks that doesn't mean it is the correct view.
I can provide objective evidence why Harry should go. Results against the top 4 this season (by which I mean Arse, Chelsea, United, Emirates Marketing Project): 1 win, 2 draws, 6 defeats. Score For 10 - 26 Against.
Previous season: 1 win, 4 draws, 4 defeats. 10 For, 15 Against. So it wasn't good last season, and has only gotten worse this season.
How many games have we won by a 3 goal (or more) margin in these 2 seasons? 4 league games.
Emirates Marketing Project have 19, Arsenal and United 13, Liverpool and Chelsea 11, even Fulham, Sunderland, Bolton, Saudi Sportswashing Machine, Everton, West Brom, and other teams equal or surpass us there.
Those stats are important because they point to a lack of tactics and organization. You need these things to win games by big margins and to beat the best teams. We've scored less than half as many goals as City (and Blackburn) from set pieces - that points to lack of preparation not lack of skill.
We've once again failed to qualify for the CL. We've once again suffered a terrible meltdown and finished below Arsenal, yet this year we have a better squad and team. They lost 3 of their most important players and we kept ours.
We only finished ahead of Chelsea because AVB royally fudged up the squad's confidence. They went and beat Valencia, Leverkusen, Napoli, Benfica, Barcelona, and Bayern Munich (and scored 5 against us in a cup semifinal) to secure their CL spot for next season. All we had to do was score a second goal at Aston Villa or beat Norwich at home and we couldn't even do that.
So if you're happy with more failure, and you're happy with mediocrity and want the glass ceiling to remain in place between us and the top teams in the league then continue to support Harry's reign here but if we want to push on we need a bit of boldness and a new manager.
Excellent post, DMac - some valid points raised although I wouldn't go as far as calling our season a 'failure' - we simply failed to capitalise on a few aspects but did well overall in my opinion.
If they're not good enough why were we so close to the top of the table in January and many points clear of 4th position?
Maybe failure is harsh but by definition we didn't achieve our goal since we didn't qualify for the CL. That is 'failing' in a sense. Also I think it's difficult to look at the season in a totality, that's just not the right way to look at it. Maybe in the beginning 4th wouldn't sound so bad, but in the middle of the season it would have especially if you said Chelsea would win the CL. As we go along there are new revelations, and we learn things that we didn't know before. I think some were surprised by our position in the league in January but to me it proved that we are good enough. The team doesn't have the confidence and togetherness yet imo to become great and achieve things but it is a new manager who must bring that mentality. I don't like people looking backwards and telling us how it should be because of how it USED to be. I want us to win and to be the best, despite the money other teams have. That is the whole point of it all. Because other teams have tremendous financial advantage we have to be smarter and take risks but that is part of the fun of it I think, and I hope the people at the club don't have the mentality of Harry and some of the folks who think he should stay, which is summed up by "we've never had it so good." That attitude needs to die now, it is a loser mentality and if we continue to think like losers we will continue to be losers. It would be nice if people focused on how it will be in the future and not how it has been in the past, because that has no bearing on what we do now.
I think signing Vertonghen will be a step in that direction, he's clearly got a winning mentality. Like VDV.
There's so many circumstances there, form of players, injuries and of course the fixture list. It shouldn't be an excuse, but just look at Bolton. Their 10 first matches this season were games they got a total of 2 points from the season before. This time they got 3 I think. What is actually an improvement, although minimal, looks horrible because of the way it's come about. And of course such a poor run has devastating effects on the rest of their season.
What I'm saying is, if our results had been distributed differently across the season, nobody would be complaining (this much), but we had some extremely good spells and a really poor one which massively influences opinions and ambitions.
What makes you say this? And I think you are very good at passing your opinion off as fact.
If they're not good enough why were we so close to the top of the table in January and many points clear of 4th position?
Maybe you'll say Redknapp is the reason but then if you give him credit for the successes he has to take responsibilities for the failures. Yet our position in January proves that we are good enough to be up there and it is therefore not "unrealistic expectations" from the fans that we would stay there. Choking and bottling it at the end of the season and ultimately not being in the CL falls on Redknapp's shoulders. And don't say I'm not giving him credit for the successes because there are none - position in the table in January is not a success but it is indicative of the strength of the team.
It was less than half a season. I am struggling to understand why people seem to be clinging to our good form as gospel, and our bad form as bad form? Surely people do understand the concept of a 38 game season, and that during that season it's quite possible for form runs, both positive and negative, to happen due to the way the fixture list presents itself etc?
I mean seriously, just look at the fixture list and circumstances.
We got turned over by the Manchester clubs, mainly because Modric's "head wasn't right" (fudging joke - and I can't believe our quickly he has been forgiven) and because we ridiculously fudged around with the Parker transfer. It left us with a powderpuff midfield against the two teams that would go on to dominate the division.
Then we went on this unbeaten 11 game run. This is where people claim is proof we were title contenders. ....
So when you break down that W10 D1 from 11 matches does it REALLY demonstrate title form? In terms of points per game? Definitely! But when you look at the set of fixtures you begin to realise that they weren't exactly tough.
We then lost to Stoke away (undeservedly and no shame in losing to them away as they're a tough team to beat at home) before another little mini-run.
Home games : Sunderland (W), Chelsea (D), WBA (W), Everton (W), Wolves (D), Wigan (W), Saudi Sportswashing Machine (W) - Another fantastic sequence of results, although the home draw against Wolves is very poor in isolation. We play two of the top six teams and come away with 4 points.
Away games : Norwich (W), Swansea (D), Emirates Marketing Project (L), Liverpool (D) - Only 1 win in four games, but considering the away games are much tougher than the ones from our excellent run of form still a decent return. And our first indication of comparity too because this run of games (including Stoke loss) meant that we had a record of W6 D4 L2.
Now the thing is the games we played during this second run of results were tougher than the 11 game superb streak. So much so that even though we got a lot less points on the board, I'd say that the results and form was just as good in real terms due to toughness of the away fixtures. Then we hit our bad run of results....
You keep talking about what we 'deserve,' but as I pointed out above we have had an abysmal record against the top 4 teams so unless you are saying we get unlucky in every single game against them how can you say we "deserve" to win them? Unless we get screwed by the referee, we deserve the result. Even if we do get screwed by the ref, we still sometimes deserve the loss. Away at Stoke people focused on Foy but not on what we were doing for the goals they scored and the lack of commitment we showed until the second half.Home games : Man Utd (L), Stoke (D), Swansea (W), Norwich (L) - Had these results occurred away you'd have to put your hands up and say they were acceptable, but at home they were not. But what was really frustrating was that we didn't deserve to lose against Utd and we deserved to beat Stoke. But these things happen in football. Against Norwich Redknapp had a brain fart and didn't play a holding midfielder and we suffered as a result. We were second best all game and it was a disgrace.
Away games : Arsenal (L), Everton (L), Chelsea (D), Sunderland (D), QPR (L) - And THIS was the run that really cost us 3rd. And yet look at those teams. It's now pretty clear looking at the home and away games that the matches being played during our bad run of form are FAR tougher than those being played during our good run of form. The away games are much harder. Only QPR are relegation fodder (and that's a London derby). Two top six teams away from home, and two mid-table teams who had fantastic home records. Also when we played QPR, the one game there where you'd think we could sneak a win, who had beaten a lot of the top teams on their manor in the previous two or three weeks! It was a VERY tough run of away games in isolation, let alone taking into consideration the home form of those teams at the time. What made it worse is that our play deserved so much more. We outplayed all of those teams except Arsenal. But these are the fine margins we're dealing in. In a logical world you'd expect us to lose against Arsenal/Chelsea. Draw/Lose against Everton. Draw against Sunderland and QPR. So in reality we came away with 2pts where logic suggests we should have come away with 3. Hardly a collapse.
The above was blamed on tiredness, even though in hindsight it's simply clear we had a very kind early season fixture list post Manchester clubs and a very tough second half of the season fixture list. Up until? The final four games.
We play three relegation battling teams in the last 4 games and have a home game against a mid-table team. Logic would suggest an 8pt return (W2 home games D2 away games), but we actually turn Bolton over and end up with W3 D1. It's nothing special though as these are exactly the sort of fixtures we had during our easier run of games.
Conclusion : You look at every result in isolation and had they been jumbled up throughout the season no one would have battered an eyelid. The problem is our expectations were fuelled after an excellent run of results during a kind fixture list period. We then had a much tougher period of games, didn't pick up as many points and people think we threw it away. I don't think we did. I think we ended up where we deserved to end up.
And who could blame him? Saved from relegation, 4th, 5th, 4th. Fans calling him a saggy faced **** and that those finishes positions aren't good enough (or in the case of many this year saying 4th is an utter disgrace - actually they said that 5th last year was a disgrace too with "a team that could and should win the league!". Christ on a bike, with those unrealistic expectations from the fans, the hatred from the fans? I'd say fudge it and leave too!!
Away games : Arsenal (L), Everton (L), Chelsea (D), Sunderland (D), QPR (L) - And THIS was the run that really cost us 3rd. And yet look at those teams. It's now pretty clear looking at the home and away games that the matches being played during our bad run of form are FAR tougher than those being played during our good run of form. The away games are much harder. Only QPR are relegation fodder (and that's a London derby). Two top six teams away from home, and two mid-table teams who had fantastic home records. Also when we played QPR, the one game there where you'd think we could sneak a win, who had beaten a lot of the top teams on their manor in the previous two or three weeks! It was a VERY tough run of away games in isolation, let alone taking into consideration the home form of those teams at the time. What made it worse is that our play deserved so much more. We outplayed all of those teams except Arsenal. But these are the fine margins we're dealing in. In a logical world you'd expect us to lose against Arsenal/Chelsea. Draw/Lose against Everton. Draw against Sunderland and QPR. So in reality we came away with 2pts where logic suggests we should have come away with 3. Hardly a collapse.
It was less than half a season. I am struggling to understand why people seem to be clinging to our good form as gospel, and our bad form as bad form? Surely people do understand the concept of a 38 game season, and that during that season it's quite possible for form runs, both positive and negative, to happen due to the way the fixture list presents itself etc?
I mean seriously, just look at the fixture list and circumstances.
We got turned over by the Manchester clubs, mainly because Modric's "head wasn't right" (fudging joke - and I can't believe our quickly he has been forgiven) and because we ridiculously fudged around with the Parker transfer. It left us with a powderpuff midfield against the two teams that would go on to dominate the division.
Then we went on this unbeaten 11 game run. This is where people claim is proof we were title contenders. During this run we played at home 5 times, and away 6 times. Our overall record was W10 D1. Very impressive, outstandingly so! Of course very few teams have ever managed to sustain a run like this throughout the entire season, including great teams far better than us. Why? Well it's easy. You just have to break down the fixture list and you'll see those 11 games were very kind to us in terms of the way the fixture list played out.
You should always look to win at home, regardless of the opposition. Any away win is a good result. Let's have a look at our home games first:
Liverpool, Arsenal, Villa, QPR, Bolton. What does that tell us? Well obviously it tells us that in the second half of the season we have to play those teams away from home too, which is obviously harder than playing them at home. That's logical and works for all teams. Wins over Liverpool and Arsenal were excellent but having seen the way Liverpool's season pan out maybe not as superb as we first though. Beating Arsenal was fantastic, and always is, but they were on a very poor run of form at the time. I don't want to detract from that though as they still have a better side and squad than us. Villa, Bolton and QPR? All three of them teams ended up in the relegation dogfight.
Away? Wolves, Wigan, Saudi Sportswashing Machine (the draw), Blackburn, Fulham, WBA. So yes the away run was fantastic of W5 D1 BUT again three of those teams ended up in the relegation dogfight. Fulham at the time were in a horrific run and people were saying Jol was going to get fired pre-Xmas. The Saudi Sportswashing Machine away draw was a very good result, as was the WBA win.
So when you break down that W10 D1 from 11 matches does it REALLY demonstrate title form? In terms of points per game? Definitely! But when you look at the set of fixtures you begin to realise that they weren't exactly tough.
We then lost to Stoke away (undeservedly and no shame in losing to them away as they're a tough team to beat at home) before another little mini-run.
Home games : Sunderland (W), Chelsea (D), WBA (W), Everton (W), Wolves (D), Wigan (W), Saudi Sportswashing Machine (W) - Another fantastic sequence of results, although the home draw against Wolves is very poor in isolation. We play two of the top six teams and come away with 4 points.
Away games : Norwich (W), Swansea (D), Emirates Marketing Project (L), Liverpool (D) - Only 1 win in four games, but considering the away games are much tougher than the ones from our excellent run of form still a decent return. And our first indication of comparity too because this run of games (including Stoke loss) meant that we had a record of W6 D4 L2.
Now the thing is the games we played during this second run of results were tougher than the 11 game superb streak. So much so that even though we got a lot less points on the board, I'd say that the results and form was just as good in real terms due to toughness of the away fixtures. Then we hit our bad run of results....
Home games : Man Utd (L), Stoke (D), Swansea (W), Norwich (L) - Had these results occurred away you'd have to put your hands up and say they were acceptable, but at home they were not. But what was really frustrating was that we didn't deserve to lose against Utd and we deserved to beat Stoke. But these things happen in football. Against Norwich Redknapp had a brain fart and didn't play a holding midfielder and we suffered as a result. We were second best all game and it was a disgrace.
Away games : Arsenal (L), Everton (L), Chelsea (D), Sunderland (D), QPR (L) - And THIS was the run that really cost us 3rd. And yet look at those teams. It's now pretty clear looking at the home and away games that the matches being played during our bad run of form are FAR tougher than those being played during our good run of form. The away games are much harder. Only QPR are relegation fodder (and that's a London derby). Two top six teams away from home, and two mid-table teams who had fantastic home records. Also when we played QPR, the one game there where you'd think we could sneak a win, who had beaten a lot of the top teams on their manor in the previous two or three weeks! It was a VERY tough run of away games in isolation, let alone taking into consideration the home form of those teams at the time. What made it worse is that our play deserved so much more. We outplayed all of those teams except Arsenal. But these are the fine margins we're dealing in. In a logical world you'd expect us to lose against Arsenal/Chelsea. Draw/Lose against Everton. Draw against Sunderland and QPR. So in reality we came away with 2pts where logic suggests we should have come away with 3. Hardly a collapse.
The above was blamed on tiredness, even though in hindsight it's simply clear we had a very kind early season fixture list post Manchester clubs and a very tough second half of the season fixture list. Up until? The final four games.
We play three relegation battling teams in the last 4 games and have a home game against a mid-table team. Logic would suggest an 8pt return (W2 home games D2 away games), but we actually turn Bolton over and end up with W3 D1. It's nothing special though as these are exactly the sort of fixtures we had during our easier run of games.
Conclusion : You look at every result in isolation and had they been jumbled up throughout the season no one would have battered an eyelid. The problem is our expectations were fuelled after an excellent run of results during a kind fixture list period. We then had a much tougher period of games, didn't pick up as many points and people think we threw it away. I don't think we did. I think we ended up where we deserved to end up.
I would expect us to beat all 3 relegation teams. Chelsea and United scored 5 goals away at Bolton for instance. The one game we absolutely needed to win, and we knew would put us into 3rd, was Aston Villa away. And we drew. What were the results of other teams at Villa Park? Well Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, City, and United all won, so all our rivals did what we could not, even though we should have had additional motivation to do it knowing what it meant.
You seem to be trying to skew it a little bit here. We played the same 19 other teams twice. In the first 19 games, we took 42 points. In the 2nd 19, we took 27. They are the same teams, and approx. the same number of games home and away. If we played tougher away games, that means we had easier home games, so it should nearly balance out in the end.
For example - United first half, 45 points, second half 44 points. City 45 points, 44 points Arsenal - 36 points, 34 points. Chelsea - 34 points, 30 points. Saudi Sportswashing Machine 30 points, 35 points. Spurs 42 points, 27 points. It's the only one that stands out. Do you not see that this is problematic?
For example - United first half, 45 points, second half 44 points. City 45 points, 44 points Arsenal - 36 points, 34 points. Chelsea - 34 points, 30 points. Saudi Sportswashing Machine 30 points, 35 points. Spurs 42 points, 27 points. It's the only one that stands out. Do you not see that this is problematic?
Good read and a good perspective, everyone feared our fixture run through Feb and March and so it transpired. (but the key moment of the season for me was Defoe's miss at Emirates Marketing Project)