Rory making the mistake everyone in the west has always made re; Russia: looking at it militarily through western lens.
Let's take tanks:
- Russian military doctrine is to have tanks that are easy to make, maintain and (at the end of the day) lose. They've got a s*** tonne of sh**y soviet era tanks and iterative upgrades of the same. They get blown up relatively easily but who cares when you can make a new one in about 30 mins.
- western tanks are far better. Technologically advanced, I.e. the challenger 2 has a really complicated membrane based armour that absorbs the energy of even direct hits by anti tank fire. However, if one of them gets destroyed it's basically a disaster as you ain't getting a replacement for ages. They also need really sophisticated maintenance.
We've been sat here laughing at Russian "meat grinder" tactics and that they didn't "sweep through" Ukrsine. That's never been Russian military doctrine. Ever. It's always been to overwhelm and grind down via weight of numbers of poorly trained (but disoensible) troops and cheap ass (but disposable) equipment.
Napoleon and Hitler both came a cropper in believing that Russia's tactic of just throwing endless waves of cannon fodder at you while bombarding the sh** out of you with artillery won't grimd you down eventually.
Fantastic Mikey!
To be honest I do feel this forum has more than one Russian plant
I am struggling to understand how a forum whose membership is pretty stagnant and suddenly has additional members who seem to toe the Kremlin line
Like I obviously do not except any disinformation activist to care about GG in the slightest. Who would?
But here we are
Location focuses the mind....the further West you go the worry diminishes.Things are moving fast in Poland. They are mobilising all adult men for military training and then there's this...
View attachment 19014
Interested, we see stories like this yet on the flipside we're also told that Putin is going to invade the rest of Europe. The media just whip everything up into a frenzy.
Yeah and the launch of the cruise missile at Dnipro in November was about refocusing the wests minds on that. The missile managed to evade western air defences gifted to Ukraine. It had a conventional warhead but could have carried nuclear. They did it just after the west announced Ukraine had permission to launch long range missiles into Russian territory. To date I don't know of any such attacks launched by Ukraine since that announcement so I suspect the Dnipro attack did its job.Yeah, but nukes. You wouldn't take on a blind paraplegic in a fight if he had an unpinned grenade in his mouth
Yep that does seem a little contradictory - Russia is about to collapse and simultaneously reconquer the old soviet empire!Interested, we see stories like this yet on the flipside we're also told that Putin is going to invade the rest of Europe. The media just whip everything up into a frenzy.
He is simply a person who 'thinks well' ie can critically think and articulate his thoughts. He doesn't always get it right but he admits that (plus Trump can make an ass of all of us) and is capable of changing his mind on a subject given new information.Even though I am very left wing I like Rory. When he ran for Tory leadership he struck me as a bloke with good intentions.
Trump has brought more clarity to this conflict. The reason he is tinkled off at Zelensky and is attempting to publically remove the "halo" from his head is that basically:
The UK could easily invade and occupy any country in Europe bar France; even Germany. Our army is far superior and we have nukes. But that doesnt mean that we should, or that the victim wouldn't muster a global alliance against us.Trump has brought more clarity to this conflict. The reason he is tinkled off at Zelensky and is attempting to publically remove the "halo" from his head is that basically:
- Zelensky is going around US and European states saying we have a moral obligation to fund Ukraine's fight against Russia.
- He points out that without Western aid they'll quickly run out of ammunition and be overrun by Russia.
- While actually I think there is a large element of truth in what he's saying, the problem with it is that we have to not only deal with morality in this situation, but REALITY.
- Trump is willing to counter the Ukrainian propoganda that they're able to counter Russia militarily with the reality: even with the huge volumes of western aid - they can't. They can only "lose more slowly".
- Therefore we have to accept in the west that Ukraine's understandable desire to keep fighting "until all pre-2014 borders are restored" is not realistic and there needs to be an end date placed on the huge economic strain on western economies of supporting Ukraine.
- Unfortunately Ukraine have attempted to dig their heals in and therefore Trump has felt that a public humiliation/reality check was necessary.
Like him or loathe him. Doesn't matter. If anyone can think of a better way of getting everyone's heads where they need to be on this issue quickly, I'd like to hear it.
But I don't know what you're trying to say. I'm not arguing the "moral" case for supporting Ukraine. But morality doesn't exist in a vacuum divorced from reality. Unless we are prepared to enter into a direct armed conflict with Russia then Russia is going to continue to push Ukraine back. Initially they're likely to capture all of Donetsk and Luhansk before I imagine consolidating the front line and then make a renewed push for Kherson and the other oblast I can't be bothered to look up how to spell.The UK could easily invade and occupy any country in Europe bar France; even Germany. Our army is far superior and we have nukes. But that doesnt mean that we should, or that the victim wouldn't muster a global alliance against us.
Even though I am very left wing I like Rory. When he ran for Tory leadership he struck me as a bloke with good intentions.
Location focuses the mind....the further West you go the worry diminishes.
Finland is similar.... security has been high up the list for some time.
They don't have a brick tonne of soviet tanks. They will run out of them by the end of the year. And no, they can't build them in about 30 mins, they can build about 100 per month. Only building 100 per month while losing about 600 on average per month isn't sustainable. It's why most experts are saying that Russia will be in trouble both militarily and economically if the war goes on another year.Rory making the mistake everyone in the west has always made re; Russia: looking at it militarily through western lens.
Let's take tanks:
- Russian military doctrine is to have tanks that are easy to make, maintain and (at the end of the day) lose. They've got a s*** tonne of sh**y soviet era tanks and iterative upgrades of the same. They get blown up relatively easily but who cares when you can make a new one in about 30 mins.
- western tanks are far better. Technologically advanced, I.e. the challenger 2 has a really complicated membrane based armour that absorbs the energy of even direct hits by anti tank fire. However, if one of them gets destroyed it's basically a disaster as you ain't getting a replacement for ages. They also need really sophisticated maintenance.
We've been sat here laughing at Russian "meat grinder" tactics and that they didn't "sweep through" Ukrsine. That's never been Russian military doctrine. Ever. It's always been to overwhelm and grind down via weight of numbers of poorly trained (but disoensible) troops and cheap ass (but disposable) equipment.
Napoleon and Hitler both came a cropper in believing that Russia's tactic of just throwing endless waves of cannon fodder at you while bombarding the sh** out of you with artillery won't grimd you down eventually.
I really don't think they will.....and yes, they do have a brick tonne of soviet tanks.They don't have a brick tonne of soviet tanks. They will run out of them by the end of the year. And no, they can't build them in about 30 mins, they can build about 100 per month. Only building 100 per month while losing about 600 on average per month isn't sustainable. It's why most experts are saying that Russia will be in trouble both militarily and economically if the war goes on another year.