Brain, I know you agree with me about Benitez: likewise, I am fairly certain that you have already previously informed me of your opinion on both his actual placing within the list of managerial achievers and the need for our club to adopt a future-centric strategy that prioritises a style of play being adopted that lasts beyond individual managers' tenures. You have made both points expertly well, and with erudition and wit.
1. Now, the point I would like to put up for consideration is this: how important is Baldini's opinion of the style of play needed for our club? Or, for that matter, how important is Levy's? If Pochettino, FdB or Martinez bring their possession-based, high intensity styles to Spurs and make us aesthetically pleasing but never take us above fifth, would that be considered 'success' worth sticking with this particular style of play for? Alternatively, if Benitez comes in and wins a trophy or takes us into the top four immediately, should we not logically then be looking to implement the 'Benitez style of play' across our teams, rather than the model FdB, Martinez and Pochettino advocate?
2. Essentially, if we succeed under Benitez (more likely than any of the other candidates, given his track record), why can we not accept that his brand of football is the one we should be looking to adopt, not the FdB/Poch/RM model? We win with a particular style, and then seek to adopt it for future successes: surely that is more logical than seeking to adopt a particular style seemingly on a whim (or, at the very least, with less weight behind it than the weight behind Benitez' brand of counter-attacking solidity) and then expecting it to generate successes?
To hammer home the point, what determines which style is 'right' for us? Winning with a style and then adopting it, or watching other people do well with it and then importing it into our own club and wanting it to replicate exactly the same successes here?
3. I would suggest Benitez embodies the former: our chances of winning trophies or securing the top four are greatest under him, and if we succeed under him it will determine the course of future style-based evolution of our club's playing philosophy. Thus, it is far more sensible than choosing the other candidates because they could possibly win with their styles which we deem to be a continuation of the nebulous 'play pretty' philosophy we have been trying to implement (without any success to show for it) for the better part of the last twenty-odd years, exceptions like Graham and Jol (to an extent) excluded.
4. Win first, then set down the style you want. Do not set down the style you want and then seek to win: that is less certain, and more troublesome.
If Arsenal win the FA Cup this weekend, I wonder how many people on this board would still be willing to turn down a good chance for trophies in order to pursue their puritanical 'play pretty, winning be damned' version of what they think Spurs should resemble. And I wonder if Bill Nick would approve of us twisting his 'It is better to fail aiming high' quote to mean what we presently think it means. Bill Nick intended for us to aim for European Cups, league titles, world club championships, the lot: by doing so he probably assumed that at the very least we would fall amongst the FA Cups and League Cups we are supposedly masters at attaining, due to the ambition we would have shown gunning for the big prizes. I very, very much doubt he meant 'abandon realistic chances of winning to pursue the refined, completely perfect embodiment of pretty, aesthetically pleasing, ultimate 'winning' football: indeed, if someone had suggested the possibility to him I doubt very much he would have taken it kindly.
Thanks for the kind words first of all. Put some numbers in just to keep my post tidy.
1. That's a lot of if. No can argue with that hypothetical, but in the game of limited information that is football manager appointments I don't see much of an argument in it. Change the outcome between Poch and Benitez for example and the hypothetical becomes an argument for Poch?
2. What's in the parenthesis is what supports your hypothetical argument I suppose. "We're more likely to succeed with him." I have agreed in the past that he's probably the lowest risk appointment, I don't think there's much chance of a proper implosion with him. But at the same time I'm not sure the chance of success is all that much higher than for Poch and FdB. I get that CL success is huge, but it's still a cup competition, and never mind the variance in the final, they were one Gerrard last minute wonder goal away from having a failed CL campaign that season. A ton of variance involved. Benitez did also fail to win the league with a spine of Mascherano, Alonso, Gerrard and Torres. In my mind what should be thought of as one of the strongest midfield/forward combos in PL history, but because they didn't win it, it's not.
You talk about his success and trophies. But no titles after 2006 with Liverpool and slipping out of the CL spots with them before getting sacked. The complete failure at Inter, another cup win with what remains a very good Chelsea side and now he has Napoli performing more or less to expectation. I'm not saying he's not good, but I'm not sure he's
exceptional.
3. It's not just about playing pretty. Not for me, and I'm 100% sure it's not for Levy.
I've always felt that there's a glass ceiling of sorts to the counter attacking strategy. Sooner or later teams won't let you do that, they will sit back, you have to control games yourself and you have to create against organized teams. Now, as the league is becoming more polarized and wins against bottom half teams are becoming more required I think this is more true than ever. I don't know where that glass ceiling would be for us with Benitez, would it be 5th? 4th? Quality CL runs? 1st? I honestly don't know, but I don't feel as confident as you that it's going to be successful over time. As I said, I think the risk of proper failure is small, but I do think that we might level out at "top 4 challenger with good cup runs" under him.
His last league win was in 03/04. Yes it's impressive to win La Liga with Valencia, but this was a rather different time to the current La Liga situation. They won the league with 77 points, which would be enough for 4th this season. Real Madrid were not a power house, finishing 4th behind Valencia, Barcelona and Deportivo La Coruna. Rijkaard had just been appointed at Barcelona, a Barca side far from the juggernaut they later became. Again, massive achievement, but it's not like he overtook Real and Barca at their best (or arguably even second best).
4. I disagree. The style comes first, then the results. No one is arguing that if we get the success we want (however you define it) we should then change our style of play. But just like Swansea decided on a style of play and got their success later, just like Pep took Barca to their extreme style and got his success we should be looking for the best style of play for us, implement it, and then hopefully the success will come as a result. If we hire Benitez, that's the style we go with. Not after he succeeds, but when he's hired.
For me, the argument for Poch or FdB over Benitez stems from me thinking that attacking against well organized hard working teams is one of the most difficult things to do in football. If you can do that then counter attacking will come naturally if you want it I think. And I think Poch at least has shown himself capable of combining attacking play with fairly solid defensive displays at Southampton at least. I want to see us being brave when playing out from the back, not just because it's prettier, but because that's how you get better at it. And when you'll have to you'll be capable of it, and sooner or later you'll have to. On a lot of levels I like the somewhat naive attacking instincts of Rodgers and Klopp, not just because it's fun to watch, but because even if you fail one season at least you'll most likely come out the other end of that season as a better attacking team. And if you want to be a top team you'll have to get better at that, or hit that glass ceiling.
Edit: I bolded the world exceptional above, because for me that's what it would take for a manager like Benitez to be clearly preferred over the kind of style I would wish the club to move towards. The kind of style I think has the greatest chance of yielding long term results by the way, not just the best looking style. I think Mourinho is truly exceptional, for him I'd say **** it with the style and just get him, he's that good. To me Benitez is close, but not quite there, not quite "exceptional enough".