That plateau in our points between games 9 and 13 is quite horrific
but we are starting to climb back towards Liverpool and Everton.
At this moment in time I still see the current top four being that same at the end of the season with maybe City edging it to the top spot. As for the competition:
Everton: I was looking through my fantasy football team and took a look at the Everton squad and it was only then that I realised how small it is. This is why I think they will slip up. Right now they have Jagielka out for most of this month and Distin on the treatment table. Not only that but if Lukaku takes a knock they have no one to replace him. They play UTD, City, Arsenal and Southampton within the last six games of the season too, when maybe their squad will be starting to feel fatigued.
Liverpool: My favourites for the top four. Suarez can quite conceivably go all season doing what he is doing right now, RVP did it for the gooners a couple of years ago. If a team can keep him quiet then maybe they have a chance (Hull did it well last month) but that won't happen for many teams. Their end of season fixtures (the last 6) are fairly easy although they do get City, Chelsea and Saudi Sportswashing Machine at Anfield. The only thing I can see tripping them up is either Suarez leaving or a loss to us at Anfield. That for me is the only way we can beat them. Not outside the realms of possibility but damn hard all the same.
Spurs: If Defoe leaves then we need to get another striker in and they have to be decent else we might as well wave any thought of top four goodbye. We have the Europa League still to play in which will be a hindrance and a drain on our resources which both Everton and Liverpool do not have. On the plus side our last six games of the season are against relegation candidates or mid table sides who will have nothing to play for. March is one tough month with games against Chelsea, Arsenal, Southampton and Liverpool in succession not to mention more games in the Europa League (assuming we beat Dnipro). Without wishing to annoy anyone too much, a loss to Arsenal this weekend wouldn't be the end of the world as it would give us time to rest whilst our competition have to play more fixtures. Sherwood will need to use the squad well to stand a chance of nicking fourth spot and we need our defenders back ASAP.
UTD: Before RVP joined UTD he was really injury prone and I wouldn't be suprised if he picked up another niggle or two before the season is over, especially if Moyes feels the need to rush him back. That combined with Rooney's rest in January, their extra games in the league cup etc could damage their chances. The champions league is a big distraction for them too, more so than the Europa league for us IMO and they have Olympiakos in this round. If they win they get dragged into another round, if they lose then their confidence will take a massive hammering. I wouldn't write them off, but then again Fergie isn't in charge any longer.
Those for me are the main four contenders for the one spot. I don't think Saudi Sportswashing Machine will be in the mix come April as their defensive injury crisis looks quite bad right now. Even if they are, they still must play 3 of the current top 7. Arsenal will maintain results to stay clear of the chasing pack IMO but without a striker other than Podolksi atm, they could be in trouble. Luckily for them they only play the poorer teams in the league this month.