But not enough of one to achieve its goal.
Australia and NZ are the pointer for the world - they went fast and hard and without unnecessary sentiment (ie if you are Aus/NZ living abroad, though - see you when the border is open again).
They showed clear leadership and consistency. (Arden had an expert break the rules - that expert was kept on for their expertise, but was stripped of everything else. Compare that with Cummings.)
They got through winter as well as possible (not without suffering- there are no options with that result).
If the next few months doesn't result in a huge rise, then Europe can use their model (they are white and "western", so can be politically justified as a model) - hard and long lockdowns then open slowly in a controlled way