Gutter Boy
Tim Sherwood
Meanwhile May wants to pass a bill to ensure Brexit happens on time...will the UK have what’s needed in place in time!?
I really don’t envy the current Government and Ministers. They have a Herculean task without a strong mandate. How can they deliver something better for the uk as promised? No good saying ‘we are just delivering Brexit’. They need to deliver a UK that’s better out than in.
We need a new Customs Ministry, new Trade experts, new regulators for Ari Travel, Medicine etc etc what will be their cost and how long will they take to be up and running? We need a new border system and customs in Ireland. We need to have our legal systems ready for he transition, will EU rulings still stand post Brexit? Or will they need to be retested in a UK court? We need to ensure industry has labour to function short term: people to pick fruit etc. We need to ensure farmers have a workable system post EU Common Agriculture Policy. And no doubt a tonne of other things too even before we venture out to try and setup trade deals with non-eu nations.
Furthermore the access to the single market negotiations will result in some loss to UK trade. We may get some trade opportunities that will take years to realise outside the EU. Or we might get worse non-Eu trade deals because we only bring 50m consumers to the table.
In the meantime our Single Market position has to suffer in one form or another: payments to access the single market that are worse than now/ loss of UK regulatory control so we can’t input into the terms of global trade anymore / or the introduction of tariffs on imports and exports. WTO tariffs would kill the car industry overnight. Possibly derail UK financial services too. And I should imagine would raise costs of anything imported from the EU: food etc. But maybe we will trade with Russia instead.
What happens if we don’t have an EU trade deal in place by the Brexit date? What if the only deal on the table is crap for the UK, what do we do? About 43% of our exports of goods and services go to the EU.
If May can even make Brexit happen she will be deserving of a medal. The task in of its self is gigantic. Regardless of the merits or otherwise of Brexit, logistically, it will be a miracle if May pulls it off and it’s not a big belly flop.
Sitting on my porcelain throne using glory-glory.co.uk mobile app
I think the biggest thing the government are lacking is someone to convey hope and vision - a charismatic leader.
The rest is all manageable - it's just bringing back in house the things all countries do, but we foolishly contracted out 25 years ago.
May is cautious because Clarke and Soubry only need a couple of allies to torpedo it. While Corbyn I believe has an ambitious Brexit vision, but can't convey it at the moment because his metropolitan south-east supporters would abandon him for the Lib Dems