Politics, politics, politics

[Danishfurniturelover]

John Curtis on BBC coverage saying a Tory 30 seat majority possible

I am starting to get the impression they have not got a clue what they are talking about.

 

[milo]

I am starting to get the impression they have not got a clue what they are talking about.

Election night coverage is a bit like football commentary. No one knows what the fudge is happening until the game is over.

 

[milo]

Thinking about it, a Tory, DUP and UU coalition, led by someone like David Davis, would be far more preferable than a May majority.

That would be a very fragile coalition.

 

[the dza]

https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2017/

This has been more accurate than the exit poll for the first two seats. Hopefully that continues as the yougov nowcast puts the Tories on only 302 seats.

 

[SpurMeUp]

Election night coverage is a bit like football commentary. No one knows what the fudge is happening until the game is over.

...and then they all pretend that they knew it all along.

Where the UKIP vote was strong, Conservatives will pick up a booster vote. Taking Brexiteers and anti-immigration vote. Where they miss that vote, things will be tighter.

...fast forward a year and I wouldn't be surprised if we're doing this all over again. A nation of voters.

 

[milo]

https://twitter.com/x/status/872934936248020992

 

[milo]

Where the UKIP vote was strong, Conservatives will pick up a booster vote. Taking Brexiteers and anti-immigration vote. Where they miss that vote, things will be tighter.

UKIP have stood aside for the Tories in 100 Lab/Con marginals. We probably need to see the results of those before assuming the result.

 

[the dza]

https://twitter.com/x/status/872934936248020992

The sort of strong and stable leadership the country needs!

 

[Seedy Ron]

https://twitter.com/x/status/872934936248020992

Passing the buck nice and early.

 

[scaramanga]

The SDLP would support Labour in parliament, they've had an unofficial electoral pact for ages, just as the Tories and the unionists have. If the exit poll is correct, a Tory and unionist pact is not enough to see them through until the end of the Brexit negotiations. We're going to be doing this again soon.

The Unionists normally have a fairly large shopping bill in return for their support.

I seriously doubt they currently have any demands other than keeping Corbyn and McDonnel the fudge away from no 10.

 

[Gutter Boy]

That would be a very fragile coalition.

I don't know - Brexit, no border poll and a Barnett Formula bribe for NI will probably hold it together. Ideologically they are essentially Conservatives

 

[the dza]

Sunderland Central, again yougov nowcast more accurate than the exit poll.

 

[scaramanga]

What did I say about hubris?

Don't remember. Maybe you hid it in your straw man.

 

[7percent]

Sunderland Central, again yougov nowcast more accurate than the exit poll.

nowcast? got a link?

 

[scaramanga]

Sunderland Central, again yougov nowcast more accurate than the exit poll.

Sterling traders seem to think the exit poll has sold Conservatives short - it's creeping back up.

 

[the dza]

https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2017/

you can type in the constituency and get their estimate for each seat. Compare them to the actual percentage vote splits which you can see here: https://twitter.com/britainelects

 

[Danishfurniturelover]

I can see why left wing parties want the voting age lowered, if the facebook generation get out and vote things look good for them.

 

[Seedy Ron]

Why do they count so fast in the North East? fudging weirdos.

 

[scaramanga]

Why do they count so fast in the North East? fudging weirdos.

It's the extra fingers and toes.

 

[7percent]

https://yougov.co.uk/uk-general-election-2017/

you can type in the constituency and get their estimate for each seat. Compare them to the actual percentage vote splits which you can see here: https://twitter.com/britainelects

Cheers!