The thing with Arsenal is that they were all first team players they didn’t want to lose. We’ve just played most of last season without him. And Poch clearly wants him gone.
He will improve United but I don’t see other European clubs coming in for him. He’s 29 and just coming off an injury prone season. Who do Barca et al have at CB and why would they want Toby?
Barca have Lenglet, Umtiti and Pique. Mina is on his way out. Pique is getting old, and they might need a fourth CB given that reality.
Madrid have Varane, Ramos and Nacho, I think. As with Barca, Ramos is getting old, and they might need a fourth CB given that reality.
Bayern have *just* Hummels and Sule. Boateng is on his way out. If Toby goes anywhere, Bayern is probably the best bet outside of England.
PSG have Marquinhos, Thiago Silva and Kimpembe (I think). Thiago Silva is getting old, an they might need a fourth CB given that reality.
I don’t think this is like Carrick or Berbatov because it’s as much wanting him gone to maintain our standards of respect, our team spirit, our culture, our buy in to the plan etc etc which you may not think are important but are key reasons as to why we’ve been able to be so consistent.
If United came for Eriksen I think we would laugh it off, similarly Dele. The only reason they are getting Toby potentially is because we don’t mind letting him go. It’s part of making the right long term decision. Not the best decision for this month, or even for this season, but what is the best way to keep us moving on an upward trajectory over the next 3 to 5 years? That may be about getting one of the last players out (Toby alongside Rose) who never seemed fully committed to building his career here, like Jan did, like Kane does. It also may be about getting him out now because it might be too painful a transition to try and replace 2 CBs in one summer (maybe Jan won’t be on the way out but maybe we want to future proof him next year too) so it’s best to start that transition now.
With most of our other players, I think we’re in a position to offer them good money - if the Kane contract is anything to go by - where the only move they really will ever want to make is Barca or Madrid (I’m thinking Eriksen here in a couple of years could be tempted to satisfy a life long ambition in spite of what money we may offer).
And if Eriksen runs down his contract and has only one year left on it by this time next summer?
Of course, Poch will exclude him from the squad, and of course then the narrative will become 'we don't mind letting him go.'
But, in the end, if this goes through ,we will sell him to whichever club rocks up and arrogantly throws us whatever cash we can weakly, quaveringly demand. United, City, maybe even Liverpool.
That is the precedent we will set. And so on with Alli et al. And I don't think Eriksen would mind going to City, for example - who are much likelier to win the CL and the PL than we are, or will be for a long time.
We could have afforded to pay Toby good money - probably not much less than United will offer (considering their CBs reportedly aren’t earning that much) but it wasn’t about that. By all accounts, he - or he allowed his agent to - dingdong us around by having Poch go to bat for a new contract for him, getting it, and then moving the goal posts. Some things - the standards and the respect for the people at this club and the way we do things which have dragged us up from being best of the rest to one of the most consistent sides in the country - are more important than worrying about whether this means United are stronger for this season. Levy and Poch will be thinking long term.
And that’s the right thing to do. To be honest I’m sure they calculated the same thing with Walker - that City could go and buy another right back from wherever they wanted and they still probably would have ran away with the League last year. But we would have kept a sulky player that wanted to move back up north, who we’d already dropped for the biggest games too. We may as well have gotten an inflated fee for him, because last year probably wasn’t going to be our year getting ahead of City because of the Wembley adjustment.
Walker specifically wanted to move back up north. We don't know if Toby does. Knock the price down and offer him elsewhere, see who bites.
Toby is the last of our squad I can see that would sulk and be a risk to morale if he didn’t get a move (Rose is too far removed from a consistent run to have a real case that he deserves one). And the long term consideration here is, can we sell abroad for the same price or near to it, or even for good money but a knock down compared to United? If not, what will United do? Move for Maguire? Move for someone else? What will we do? Keep Toby on the bench for a year and sell him for cheap next summer? Not be able to bring in De Ligt or Maguire ourselves? United will sign someone regardless when it’s a position they want to strengthen, so we may as well get paid over the odds for it.
That assumes that we will want to bring in De Ligt or Maguire, or will want to pay the fee required to get them. We might well end up getting Grealish instead - or an N'Someone from a mid-table club in Ligue 1.
The money is irrelevant, since apparently we won't be sinking it into the stadium but instead will use it to finance our transfers. I'd rather take the hit and sell him for cheaper than that, as long as we also make clear that it's our way or the highway when it comes to our rivals on these shores.
And just to be clear, I wouldn’t be advocating this approach with Kane, Eriksen, Dele, Son, Dier (and the thing you seem to have ignored is we absolutely DID make a stand against United with Dier, which was the comment Jose made in relation to) but for Toby - a player we have already shown we can do without, who we want to move on for the sake of our own standards and harmony, and so we can get paid over the odds to find the best replacement for us. If we sell Toby and sign De Ligt, it will be a great move. If we sell Toby and get Martial, also a great move. They will sign a CB anyway.
It wouldn't be your choice, like it wasn't Arsenal's choice when their players started demanding moves. Like I said, Eriksen will be down to one year on his contract come next year, and I can bet you that the same folks who preach caving to United this year will be making the same rationalizations next year.
At some stage, we either act like a club with f*cking ambition, or resign ourselves to acting as a feeder to the clubs around us forevermore - stadium or no stadium.
Arsenal took the latter route. We apparently want to follow them down that path.