Yet in this country SAGE are forecasting doom and gloom.19k new cases in south africa. But 26% positivity. So the actual numbers will be far higher. Deputy vice chancellor of research seems cautiously optimistic.
There's already 800 admissions a day and it was 3k this time last year, so that's not even a scare storyYet in this country SAGE are forecasting doom and gloom.
1/2 k admissions a day. Have they got anything correct lately.
They said delta would be 2-7 K. That was wrong.There's already 800 admissions a day and it was 3k this time last year, so that's not even a scare story
They said delta would be 2-7 K. That was wrong.
BBC were saying that would be on top of delta.
That’s what I thought to . BBC going maximum fear . Was the journalist before press conference saying it .Why would it be on top of delta? It's either going to wipe it out, or not take off at all. They wont run in parallel for long
Surely nobody is surprised when MPs don't follow the rules... did anyone honestly think they would not have parties etc?
Quite strange it is only coming out a year later, surely it would have been obvious to many, many people / staff / servants / organisers / media at the time?
good read here on SA with proper analysis. Basically... it's still too early to know.
https://yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/omicron-were-getting-some-answers
That's just xmas. Sure there was a birthday or 2 an anniversary. Leaving do, berevement and a swingers party.
Isn’t that tempered by the fact that the demographic getting infected is mainly younger and therefore less likely to become seriously ill anyway?Did you even watch the vid or read the report?
Let me give you the highlights.
No increase in the number of patients in hospitals.
There has been a rise in the number of patients in hospital with covid. But 76% of those cases are incidental, they were admitted for reasons other than covid. Most didn't realise they had it.
70% of covid patients don't require oxygen. This is the same as would normally be expected without covid.
Only 1 double vaccinated person that had covid required oxygen. That was because they had copd.
Waste water checks showed that the wave in one city was already as high as previous waves the sample was taken about 2 weeks ago (medcram did a vid).
Average hospital stay is 2.8 days compared to 8.5 days in previous waves.
No increase in deaths.
The doctors that have worked through previous waves say this is totally different. Very mild disease.
Could this change? yes. Everyone could drop dead tomorrow.
But everything points to this being mild. Don't know why you have a problem accepting that.
Isn’t that tempered by the fact that the demographic getting infected is mainly younger and therefore less likely to become seriously ill anyway?
Still not enough time elapsed to see what happens across various demographics, in each country. Too many variables, Vax uptake[I know RSA is lower!], age, health, density of population, commute distances. i prey it’s mild and the positive is that the initial signs are not showing it as being more severe, which is great but hardly conclusive.Isn’t that tempered by the fact that the demographic getting infected is mainly younger and therefore less likely to become seriously ill anyway?