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American politics

In a phone conversation with ABC News Chief Washington Correspondent Jonathan Karl on Sunday morning, Donald Trump said he has "a substantial lead" and predicted the winner of the election will be known by election night.

Karl asked Trump if he thought there was any way he could lose.

"Yeah, I guess, you know," Trump answered. "I guess you could lose, can lose. I mean, that happens, right?" he said. "But I think I have a pretty substantial lead, but, you could say, yeah, yeah, you could lose. Bad things could happen. You know, things happen, but it's going to be interesting."

As for when he will address the country about the election results, Trump said, "I'll be out there at the right time."

The former president spoke with Karl after another grueling day on the campaign trail that ended shortly before midnight Saturday.

"I don't think anyone's ever done my schedule before," he said, "Big thing is, can the voice hold out?"

He added: "Nobody's ever done what I've done, and they're big rallies and tremendous enthusiasm."

Trump embarked on a battleground state blitz in the final days of the campaign. After a swing through western states last week, he spoke at rallies in Michigan and Wisconsin on Friday and twice in North Carolina on Saturday with a side trip to Virginia, which he says he can win. After his call with Karl, he was on to rallies Sunday in Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Georgia.

Citing Brazil-based polling company AtlasIntel, which bills itself as the "most-accurate" pollster in 2020, Trump said he is leading in all seven battleground states.

Asked when he plans to address the country on Election Day, he said, "I'll be out there at the right time.

Trump took issue with Karl's reporting on "Good Morning America" that Trump's message in his rallies is not as disciplined and focused as some of his campaign advisers would like it to be.

"I just watched," Trump told Karl. "You said my message was all over the place. It's not."

Karl pointed out that Trump himself has talked about how his speeches jump from topic to topic, which he calls "the weave."

“Look, the weave got me elected president,” he said. “Yeah, that's one of those things, but, but the weave is a good thing. Nobody else can do it. Very few people can."
 
I see Kamala Harris went on SNL at the weekend. Nothing wrong with it, but with all due respect, the type of people who watch SNL are probably already in the bag for the democrats so wouldn’t it be more worthwhile going somewhere where they won’t kiss her arse and perhaps try to win over some undecided voters? Like conservative media outlets for example, try and penetrate that bubble.
 
Jurgen the German said:
I see Kamala Harris went on SNL at the weekend. Nothing wrong with it, but with all due respect, the type of people who watch SNL are probably already in the bag for the democrats so wouldn’t it be more worthwhile going somewhere where they won’t kiss her arse and perhaps try to win over some undecided voters? Like conservative media outlets for example, try and penetrate that bubble.
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The best media outlet for this election is podcasts.
 
So Nate Silver's final election forecast, gives Harris a 50,015 percent chance of winning the electoral college. :oops:

Only a prediction, of course, but it's astonishing that a country of almost 350 million people can be split almost precisely in the middle.

It's gonna get messy either way.
 
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Robbo said:
So Nate Silver's final election forecast, gives Harris a 50,015 percent chance of winning the electoral college. :oops:

Only a prediction, of course, but it's astonishing that a country of almost 350 million people can be split almost precisely in the middle.

It's gonna get messy either way.
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He's been wrong a lot for a while and has slinked off to work for Thiel. I wouldn't give credence to anything he says now.
 
Rorschach said:
I'm mildly confident. Women will vote for Harris in enough numbers to swing it.
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Reports of high turnout, which is usually good news for the democrats. Hoping that most of the polls we've seen are indeed done by hacks for right wing media and it's a landslide, but will take any win.

Tomorrow the shenanigans start. You can always count on the opposite of what Trump says being the truth.

https://twitter.com/x/status/1853860800047227317
 
Jordinho said:
Reports of high turnout, which is usually good news for the democrats. Hoping that most of the polls we've seen are indeed done by hacks for right wing media and it's a landslide, but will take any win.
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A lot of the polls have a high margin of error. It used to be anything with over 3 as margin of error was just discounted out hand, I don't know if that is still meant to hold true today, but that standard has def slipped.

This seems to be on both sides, I can't remember full details but a trump winner poll had a margin of 5, the Harris/Iowa recent polls (I've seen 2 of them) both same result, margin was 3.4 for des moines, 3.9 for a diff pollster.

I more or less believe that the polls are just being reported for click bait/views as the news media is a business and there's not much profit in "person a wins at a canter".
 
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