Re: Mario Gómez
Great post.
Who would you suggest for the final piece (assuming we do get Villa)?
Are either Leandro or Soldado smart enough around the box? Is Bernard too direct like Bale? Could we use a Pjanic-type that far forward?
Shucks, thanks!
In my view, we should look to Villa to be the left-wing forward in our 4-3-3. His game is based around movement into the side channels around the two (or three) centre-backs (see the number of acute angles he finished from in 2012-2013) and he's used to quick-release passing as a means of switching up the attack, having been an important cog of a Barca side that veered between being a direct, 'run at the back line' type side when Messi drove down the middle to a more cerebral, pass-and-advance side when the occasion demanded it.Also, he's not the fastest or the strongest, which is undoubtedly a concern in the physical Premier League: ergo, stationing him out wide with a license to drift inside would allow him to play to his strengths without putting him directly up against the standard overly-bulky PL centre-back.
As for the centre-forward, I'm torn. Of the players we're linked with, Soldado is the best option: he had a good shots-to-goals ratio of 24 percent last season, and most of his goals also came from acute angles and off-the-ball runs (as opposed to tap-ins or stationary headers), indicating reasonably solid movement. However, he had a 74 percent pass success rate, an average of 19.8 passes a game, and made only 0.9 key passes a game (as opposed to, say, Van Persie, who posted 80.3 %, 26.9 and 1.8 respectively(
http://www.just-football.com/soccer.../06/best-strikers-in-the-world-analysis-2.jpg)). It's a reasonable return - hell, it's a well above average return - but if we're looking for a world-class 'complete' forward with good movement, dribbling, finishing and passing, we probably need someone just a little bit more involved in an average game than Soldado.
Personally, I'd love it if we went for Stefan Kiessling, whom I rank near the top of the list of 'affordable', realistic forwards. He's 29, yes, and his conversion rate is only 20 percent as opposed to Soldado's 24 (
http://www.just-football.com/soccer...s/2013/06/Stefan-Kiessling-goals-analysis.jpg), but his off-the-ball movement, tireless work-rate, and adventurous forward passing (65 percent success rate, but 26 passes per game and 2 key passes per game, with 7 assists (
http://www.just-football.com/soccer...13/06/Stefan-Kiessling-Passing-Statistics.jpg)) makes me think he would be far more suited to our direct pressing game. Also, Bayer Leverkusen played a counter-attacking style last season, which suited him immensely (25 goals), and that style corresponds with our own to a very large degree. Finally, he's big, strong, German, once compared to Klinsmann, and realtively cheap (I'd wager he'd cost around 16 million euros, cheaper than Soldado). What's not to like?
Sure, Soldado's a good forward, there's no denying that. And if we got him, I'd be happy. But Kiessling would, in my eyes, suit us better. It's a good dilemma to have though, when compared to last season's 'off-form Ade versus off-form Defoe' debate.