I think Liverpool will win all five remaining PL games, which means we must win at least five games too to overtake them. One draw and five wins will do.
They might take their eyes off a PL game or two if they proceed in the CL, but I don't bet on that. On paper all our games bar City look very winable too though.
I can't see Manure dropping four points in the league - their only tricky game is against Arse, but they won't lose. Maybe away against West Ham could be hard if the spammers are in a relegation battle (not likely), but they would really have to slip up properly for us to finish second.
Anyways; as usual all we can do is to take one game at a time and see where it takes us...