milo
Jack L. Jones
I agree with a lot of that, although I think England would have had more chance qualifying purely due to the fact that he would have instilled a siege mentally ... Would have played to the teams strengths and ensured bonding and passion terry venables style... I know I know passion is a dirty word around these parts.... But you know what if the stat boys believe that 50% of results are due to luck... Then why is is not ok to accept that terry butcher, Stuart pierce, gazza style passion is a major factor in results as well?
I think that the Venables comparison is a fair one.
On the bolded bit, they are right and last night would be a classic example. Uruguay's winning goal was scored from a misplaced header from Gerrard, a lucky goal. Roughly 50% of goals are scored from fortunate positions, so luck has a massive impact on the results of games.