On Redknapp's supposed 'tactical knowledge in the big games', why do people forget the season we finished 4th? Why do people forget that we needed results against Chelsea, Arsenal, and Emirates Marketing Project away and got them all? What is the explanation for it? Total luck? People say he has a losers mentality but he's said he set the team up at Emirates Marketing Project to 'have a go at them' against the advice he was given, and it worked. We were ahead of them at the time, and could have easily tried to set up for a draw if we wanted. But we didn't and we went for it. Then last season, wins against Inter, Arsenal away, Milan away...of course he has enough 'knowledge' for the big games. But I don't really think football works like you have knowledge for certain games and not others, you either get the game or you don't. In any case, he has gotten results against big teams in big games. He has also set us up this season where we have definitely deserved something from big games again, United at home and City away. Chelsea away.
You know what? Part of the fact that we got results when we got 4th in 09/10 was because of luck. Chelsea and Arsenal had good chances in those games and Gomes pulled off spectacular saves to keep us in the lead, if the ball went slightly in another place we could have easily drawn or lost. And part of the reason we didn't get results in big games this season was because of bad luck. But people view management as some sort of all-controlling key that these men hold, where the decisions that they make can effect the result of the game on an absolute level, as if they are just pulling one lever or another and this or that could happen, and the good manager needs to recognise which one they need to pull. That happens sometimes, sure. Sometimes, a manager will get tactically outsmarted, but most other times, all the managers in this league know as much about football as each other, so every move they make is counter-acted, pretty quickly. It levels out, and then it becomes about the players, luck, the officials, the wind, the pitch, confidence, form, and all sorts of other crazy stuff.
The reason to have a good manager is not so you can find the one that has the magic secret and all the tactical knowledge that will help us win every game and react to every situation he is faced with in the perfect way. The reason to have a good manager is to give your team the best possible chance, so that you are on the even footing with every other club in the league in that regard. I'm not saying a manager's knowledge doesn't have an effect, because it does. Put me in charge of Spurs and immediately we wouldn't be on an even footing, and wouldn't be giving ourselves the best possible chance. But all you can do with a manager is try to give yourself the best possible chance. You can't get a manager in with massive tactical knowledge and expect to win everything because it doesn't work like that.
As an example, people have listed Rodgers and Lambert as better tactical managers in this thread. But we played Swansea, in the middle of an utterly terrible run, and beat them 3-1. Rodgers set up his team to play the way he always does, a way that has beaten Emirates Marketing Project and Arsenal this season so it isn't a 'wrong' way by any means, because it gets results. Harry set us up to press them extremely high up the pitch, force them into bad passes and give them absolutely no time on the ball. We ended up winning fairly comfortably in the end and create good chances. Why did Rodgers, as this superb tactical manager, not change it up when he realised what was happening? It's because there isn't some magic secret. At the end of the day it was his players vs our players, and no one is going to say Rodgers doesn't understand tactics because of it. I'm sure Rodgers completely knows his football, and constantly studies to keep up to date, but at the end of the day you'll employ him because you want your team to be coached and play a certain way, not because he is some guarentor of success because he 'knows' more about tactics.
There's other examples. I've been massively impressed with how flexible Lambert is in his tactical set ups this season. He has no qualms about changing systems even in game to get an advantage. But he can still lose games. He comes up against tactical dunce Harry, who tells Bale to play where he wants. And Bale destroys them. Yes, I know we lost to them at home, but that can happen. It was down to tactics, Harry admitted we were too open, but it's not as if this proves that Harry knows nothing, and should be sacked on the basis of it, because he has also proven that his tactical plan (to let Bale roam) can outsmart the manager who outsmarted him.
My point is, the knowledge that each of these managers possess largely evens itself out. You employ a good manager to give yourself the best possible chance. But no manager by themselves is going to guarentee success. Harry tactically by himself may not be the best, but he knows his stuff. He knows his football. And the thing that makes him cleverer than most is the fact that he knows that he doesn't know everything, and that's why he is very willing to take advice of people who know more about the game than he does. Sometimes he won't listen and go with his gut, and we will beat Emirates Marketing Project away and secure our first 4th place finish. Sometimes he will listen and we will lose at home to Norwich for being too open. But there's also hundreds of other games for us where he's probably listened and got results because he is a good manager and knowing when to listen is a skill in itself.
But tactics can only do so much. And no manager is going to come here, give us his tactical secrets and watch us waltz to the title. AVB is probably excellent tactically, but it didn't work for him at Chelsea. At the end of the day football can be cruel. It could be argued we were lucky to get 4th in 09/10, and unlucky not to get 3rd this season. Harry was the manager for both of those years, and his tactical knowledge was the same. He gives us as good a chance as any manager because it's about finding the right man for the right club, and I'm pretty confident Harry suits us. Football can be decided so much by luck that you really shouldn't judge success by the odd league placing because of the odd points difference. You should judge by roughly what positions you are finishing over a number of years, so you know you are on the right track, in the right ball park and you have consistency. Harry's results in his full seasons in charge read: 4th, 5th, 4th. No reason to get rid of that.