I will bite.
First of all (and an important distinction) you don't have to believe Bush conspired to 'create' 9/11, indeed I agree that is tin-hat stuff. What most decidedly isn't is the way in which the administration went about the next phase; to deny they took gross advantage of the situation to further agendas and policy-making in the region that they wished to implement is equal nonsense IMO. We need not get into the details here, needless to say I suspect you and I might agree on this subtle yet very pronounced difference in what happened there.
Erdogan...similar situation, except I believe that like Thatcher in '81 re: Falklands, he knew a potential coup was around the corner, he knew had the resources to squash it and he knew he would thus be able to quickly create the mandate to clean house of every single opposing faction within the country/squash them out of existence, and have full reign of matters. Real evidence? Hard to conclude what is 'real' evidence, but tell me how 2700 judges are removed within a couple of days? What do 2700 judges have to do with the attempt? Could he have removed them to make sure that the only judges left are sympathetic to what he feels needs to be 'done' to the 50,000 - odd people targeted by Erdogan as in need of correction/punishment?
http://www.reuters.com/article/us-turkey-security-idUSKCN0ZX07S
As for Nice (and Germany now) absolutely agree. ISIS have managed to float a message out there which appeals to the disturbed and unhinged who 'might' find refuge in it's twisted message. They will trawl and get more sadly. Very very hard to capture loan nutters who get 'turned' and have as much to do with the Muslim faith as Vic Reeves.
The tragedy is that for ALL the above, the only 'winners' are the extremists. If they can continue to drop balls of chaos left and right, to churn the waters and to get ignorant people to turn on all refugees and muslims then they will have caused the divide & conquer which gives them potentially many many more recruits. I think what is alarming in all the reporting, is that NO-ONE is mentioning how many tens of THOUSANDS of muslims have been MURDERED by Isis-realted groups worldwide. They attack the muslim community just as hard.
Interested in your response here mate, as Milo said, you're an erudite political conversationalist.