*** The Official 26/27 Premier League Thread ***

Robbo said:

It's a(nother) crazy anomaly. Statistically we should've been awarded 6-7 penalties in that many matches, although playing style, etc. must also be taken into consideration. We've been poor going forward for quite a while.

Unsurprisingly that lot down the road tops the list with 10 away penalties aince our last one.

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Though I don't buy there's any conspiracy against us, it is a crazy stat. Between 2008-2023, we pretty consistently got penalties. Here's a list of pens/missed pens in domestic matches away from home: https://thfcdb.com/match-events?pag...tive__&competitionRange=domestic&homeOrAway=A

Not sure on the veracity of the stats but AI sourced so don't take as gospel.

Using touches in the opposition penalty area per 90 as a proxy for attacking [play/ability to be awarded a penalty due to being in the penalty box (so not perfect) and the average number of penalties per game over the 38 games of the 25-26 season the below came out.

Us and Villa are statistically anomalous having not had a penalty all of last season in the EPL. Villa actually a re a month further along on the league penalty drought!

Not including us and Villa the league average (minus Leeds, Burnley and Sunderland whose touches per 90 AI couldn't provide but Leeds had 8 and Sunderland 5 penalties whilst Burnley had 2) the average was a penalty awarded every 240 touches. Including us and Villa it is a penalty approximately every 325 so teams like Brentford, Palace and Chelsea getting more penalties than their field positioning would suggest, Everton, Liverpool (!) us and Villa being significantly behind the curve.





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