I can see us in with a very decent shout for fourth. Out of our final 16 games, we only play clubs within the top 7 (ManU and above) five times, three of those at home.
The two away are at Chelsea and Liverpool. Draws at both those games could be acceptable if Sherwood can keep Spurs winning the games against lower placed opponents. They're both in March, so a little early to call just yet. We might well be above Liverpool in points by then and a nice, pragmatic draw could well suit us, so they may well fall below the category of must win.
NBC in the States was showing a graphic on the Sunday with the table for the top 7. Spurs are second last with only Man U below us. ManCity are on top. We need to get our placing a little higher. I'd say the upcoming game against City is something we'd love to win, but a draw might be acceptable. Mind you, City's away form is mediocre. Liverpool and Everton play at Anfield the day before, so one will drop points, maybe both if they match their earlier draw at Goodison.
I'd call Everton's visit a must win. Same with the following week's game, up in Saudi Sportswashing Machine. It's not really practical to look too far ahead, but they are in the foreseeable future and two wins out of two tough tests and we'd be set fair for a tough March. Smack in the middle of March is Arsenal's visit. I'd call that a must win as well. If we were to lose at Chelsea the week before, a win would be a nice bounce back and good preparation for the Liverpool trip two weeks later. The final six weeks are all winnable matches - the 'should wins' - and Liverpool have a tough run in, as do Everton.
So, Everton and Arsenal at home, Saudi Sportswashing Machine away. Must wins for me.