He'd need a complimentary forward to make any difference. We badly lack penetration centrally, one man is not going to solve that.
I agree with this. Moutinho has better vision and picks out the pass on the counter more quickly than our other CMs, but our strikers are really unsuited for playing on the counter - neither actually drive into the box. Defoe likes to linger and shoot from outside, Ade likes to drift out wide.
However, Bale might be the main beneficiary - he'd have more time and space to surge onto the ball. Ade can play him in but it'd be *very* useful for a CM to be able to do so, especially with Ade's inconsistent ball control these days.
With Moutinho, we'd probably play a 4-3-3, with a mobile three-man midfield of a DM (Sandro/Parker), a runner (Dembele), and a passer (Mouts), all of whom are quite good at pressing - though it depends on whether our striker can actually score (since none of those three are prolific).
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This season Moutinho hasn't been playing that well - he's always been considered inconsistent from what I've heard - but still has a pretty mesmerizing 3.3 Key Passes, 76 passes, 2.5 tackles per game in the CL. That Key Passes figure is substantially higher than Modric and VdV's numbers at any time last season, or any of our players this season.
I don't think he's worth 22m considering options elsewhere, but I think it's easy to see why AVB would want him so much. Other players may have a better return on value, but they're not proven to be as loyal to AVB and capable of understanding his methods and instructions. After the Chelsea debacle, is it any wonder that AVB prefers players he knows he can trust?