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Coronavirus

So cases for the last 2 days are way down on the same as last week and the BBC posts this at 4.30pm

Covid infections around the UK continue to rise

Yes the ons study is a week out of date (always has been). Only up till the 17th of july. So correct, just out of date.
 
Think you will see media now concentrate on hospitalisations and deaths rather than cases. Their job is to make money selling stories rather than informing people. Bad news sells.
 
I do wonder what the long term plan is for those countries, it's obviously not realistic to close the borders forever but I guess new treatments etc will come along and maybe in a year or so the threat will be much less once the world gets vaccinated.
 
Insane this !!
Do they think they will get to zero COVID or something ?


They have to try with delta. They have hardly any immunity in the population. If it gets out of hand their health service wont be able to cope.

I said the other day, the original strain was r3 delta is r7. So the original one person would give it to 3, they would each give it to 3 more. With delta it is 7.

Original strain - 3x3x3x3x3 = 243
Delta - 7x7x7x7x7 =16807

Lockdowns, masks, social distancing, vaccinations etc... will reduce the r. But it's still incredibly dangerous. Think only 14% of the population has had 2 shots.
 
Insane this !!
Do they think they will get to zero COVID or something ?

They have a huge problem with vaccination denial.
It's always going to be a toss of a coin if the winter/summer cycle was a huge advantage or disadvantage for them.
If they continue to have a pig headed approach, it will be the latter. So they'll have to keep doing lock downs until the penny drops.
Perversely, it would probably be a better outcome to let it rip and kick people into gear into getting the vaccine.
 
They have a huge problem with vaccination denial.
It's always going to be a toss of a coin if the winter/summer cycle was a huge advantage or disadvantage for them.
If they continue to have a pig headed approach, it will be the latter. So they'll have to keep doing lock downs until the penny drops.
Perversely, it would probably be a better outcome to let it rip and kick people into gear into getting the vaccine.

Didn't help the eu blocking their astra zeneca vaccines. We sent some of ours (which i believe they gave to papua new guinea, during their spike) but the majority were to be made in europe.
 
Didn't help the eu blocking their astra zeneca vaccines. We sent some of ours (which i believe they gave to papua new guinea, during their spike) but the majority were to be made in europe.
So you think vaccine supply would have suddenly made people want to take it?
Yeah, great logic, as usual.
 
Australia ordered pfizer but only 10 million doses and 4 months later than most countries. Because they were relying on az. But india and the eu blocked exports.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...nscionable-gamble-on-covid-vaccines-backfired

“If you think about it in terms of what business people call ‘portfolio theory’, you have to have a mixture of investments so you can mitigate your risk if one strategy doesn’t work,” he says. “One of the failures was this failure to diversify back in July.

“So when AstraZeneca fell over, when UQ fell over, they were stuffed.”
 
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He does miss that due to the gap and slower rollout. People in the uk would have gotten their second jab later than israel. But big problems for the us coming up. Especially for the southern states. They are so hot people stay in. With aircon doors and windows are shut.
 
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