http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...dvance-to-the-next-round.html?ref=sports&_r=0
Dark green=1st, light green=2nd, yellow=3rd, pink=out
Hungary’s scenarios
Hungary – yes, Hungary – leads Group F. It is virtually assured a place in the knockout round. Unfortunately, its next match is against Portugal, a team that badly needs a win to advance. If Hungary beats Portugal, it wins Group F. It Hungary ties Portugal, it will probably win the group depending on the score of the Iceland-Austria game. Even if Hungary loses to Portugal, it will finish second in the group as long as Austria wins or ties against Iceland. The worst case for Hungary is if it loses while Iceland wins – but Hungary would probably advance as a third-place team even if that happened.
Iceland’s scenarios
Iceland enters its final match, against last-place Austria on Wednesday, in a position to finish in first, second, third or even fourth place in Group F. Scenarios like this one are the reason we created our
detailed matrix, so be sure to explore it. Bottom line: Iceland needs a win to be confident of advancing to the Round of 16.
Portugal’s scenarios
Portugal enters its final match after a frustrating draw with Austria. Like Iceland, it can finish Group F in any position – first, second, third or even last place – depending on the results of Wednesday’s matches. Only a win is enough to guarantee an automatic place in the Round of 16.
Austria’s scenarios
Austria is down, but not out. It must beat Iceland on Wednesday. If it does, it will almost certainly advance. If it does not, it almost certainly will not. If Austria wins, it will finish in second or third place. Just to be safe, Austrians should root against Portugal.