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Predict The Run In

Predictor:

1. Man Utd - 96
2. Emirates Marketing Project - 86
3. Tottenham - 69
4. Arsenal - 68
------------------
5. Chelsea - 65
------------------
6. Everton - 63
.
..
...
14. Saudi Sportswashing Machine - 39
15. Wigan - 39
16. Norwich - 39
17. Aston Villa - 38
----------------------
18. Stoke - 37
19. QPR - 33
20. Reading - 25

DAT EXCITEMENT.


Bias might have come into it when it come to us and Stoke though :lol:
 
paxtonwolf said:
Penalties awarded this season in the PL
Chelsea - 9
WBA - 7
Liverpol,Arsenal,Emirates Marketing Project - 6
Man United - 5
Tottenham - 0

:eek:
Click to expand...

Incredible stats. I would love to blame refs but I cant actually even remember us having big penalty appeals turned down.

Its just shows exactly what we`re lacking, unability to get in the box. Unability to play direct.

With Lennon and especially Bale we should be getting penalties.
 
City look like certainties for second and Liverpool for 7th, so I'll include Everton.

[table="width: 600, class: grid"]
[tr]
[td]Tottenham[/td]
[td]Chelsea[/td]
[td]Arsenal[/td]
[td]Everton[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td][/td]
[td]Fulham (A)[/td]
[td][/td]
[td][/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Chelsea (A)[/td]
[td]Tottenham (H)[/td]
[td][/td]
[td][/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Emirates Marketing Project (H)[/td]
[td]Liverpool (A)[/td]
[td]Fulham (A)[/td]
[td]Sunderland (A)[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Wigan (A)[/td]
[td]Swansea (H)[/td]
[td]Man Utd (H)[/td]
[td]Fulham (H)[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Southampton (H)[/td]
[td]Man Utd (A)[/td]
[td]QPR (A)[/td]
[td]Liverpool (A)[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Stoke (A)[/td]
[td]Aston Villa (A)[/td]
[td]Wigan (H)[/td]
[td]West Ham (A)[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Sunderland (H)[/td]
[td]Everton (H)[/td]
[td]Saudi Sportswashing Machine (A)[/td]
[td]Chelsea (A)[/td]
[/tr]
[/table]

I'll weight the teams as follows, expected number of points in brackets (home/away):

Top 1: Man Utd (0/0, anything here is a bonus)

CL contenders: Emirates Marketing Project, Chelsea, Tottenham, Arsenal, Everton, Liverpool (1/1, 10 points in total)

Mid table: Swansea, West Brom, Stoke, Saudi Sportswashing Machine, Fulham, Norwich, West Ham, Southampton (3/1, 32 points in total)

Bottom 5: Sunderland, QPR, Wigan, Reading, Aston Villa (3/3, 30 points in total)

If anyone matched this over the course of a season they would get 72 points. It's mostly intended to rate the different run ins and you never know when teams will start to switch off towards the end of the season.

As it stands:

Arsenal 60
Chelsea 58
Tottenham 58
Everton 56

Come end of season:

Tottenham 70 (12/18 points won)
Chelsea 68 (10/21 points won)
Arsenal 68 (8/15 points won)
Everton 65 (9/15 points won)


Using last season's results from the same fixtures:

Chelsea 69
Tottenham 68
Everton 63
Arsenal 61
Liverpool 59

Arsenal did not win any of their remaining fixtures this season last season.

*all this assuming I've counted correctly when adding up

Key matches:

Tottenham - Emirates Marketing Project
Liverpool - Chelsea
Arsenal - Man United
Man United - Chelsea
Liverpool - Everton
Chelsea - Tottenham
Chelsea - Everton
 
tpiZV5l.png


too slow to beat Jord i see :lol:

nicely laid out ;)

edit: stole your color scheme for added detail
 
Last edited:
Chelseas run in is so fudging hard. Like, if it was our run in we'd all write ourselves off, but because it's Chelsea we aren't doing so?
 
Mumorn said:
Chelseas run in is so fudging hard. Like, if it was our run in we'd all write ourselves off, but because it's Chelsea we aren't doing so?
Click to expand...


I think Chelsea have done very badly against the lesser teams this season, but very well against the 'big' teams.


It's slightly worrying.
 
Spursalot said:
I think Chelsea have done very badly against the lesser teams this season, but very well against the 'big' teams.


It's slightly worrying.
Click to expand...

Drew 0-0 at home to Fulham. Hard away London Derby.
Drew 1-1 at home to Liverpool. Hard away at Anfield.
Drew 1-1 away at Swansea, already lost at home to them in the cup.
Lost 2-3 at home to Man Utd, will be a hard away game against the Champions.
Beat Aston Villa 8-0 at home :lol:
Beat Everton 2-1 away, by then Everton might have nothing to play for.

It won't be easy for them.
 
Mumorn said:
Drew 0-0 at home to Fulham. Hard away London Derby.
Drew 1-1 at home to Liverpool. Hard away at Anfield.
Drew 1-1 away at Swansea, already lost at home to them in the cup.
Lost 2-3 at home to Man Utd, will be a hard away game against the Champions.
Beat Aston Villa 8-0 at home :lol:
Beat Everton 2-1 away, by then Everton might have nothing to play for.

It won't be easy for them.
Click to expand...


Think it's more to do with benitez's rotation policy, i am pretty confident we'll end up in the top four though.
 
by the time we play Chelsea (assuming May 8th is the date) they will have played 4 games to our 3 in the league (as well as two European games)

away in a local derby against Fulham
away to United (3 days after a European fixture)
away to Liverpool
home to Swansea (3 days after a European fixture)

our games before then are :

home to Emirates Marketing Project
away to Wigan
home to Southampton
 
I was looking at skysports.com on our results. This season, we have lost only three league games after >= 6 days of rest. The only exceptions were Arsenal away (Abedayor sent off after 18 minutes), Saudi Sportswashing Machine away (first game of season), and Chelsea away. This is a reason to be optimistic about the rest of the season (I feel). We will only have 2 short-rest games for the rest of the remaining 6 fixtures - Wed 8th May Chelsea (A), and Sun 12th May Stoke (A).

Maybe Statto can compile something to compare points we got after a full-rest vs short-rest?

Note: we also lost to Leeds (A) in the FA Cup after a full-week rest.
 
There has a thread on here last season about the amount of minutes our players had played compared to our rivals.
Chelsea are at a huge disadvantage here. Looking at their 11 players with most minutes played. Compare that with our 11 with most minutes played.
I think this gives us an advantage going into the run in.


Code: 
[B]Chelsea     Minutes[/B]
Cech        4755
Ivanovic    4254
Mata        4160
Ramires     4081
Luiz        4067 
Torres      4007
Hazard      3972
Cole        3779
Oscar       3597
Cahill      3419
Azpilicueta 3199
----------------
Total      43290

Code: 
[B]Tottenham  Minutes[/B]
Walker     3777
Vertonghen 3766
Bale       3344
Lennon     3328
Defoe      2790
Dembélé    2714
Dempsey    2456
Lloris     2430
Caulker    2282
Sandro     2136
Dawson     2075
---------------
Total     31108


Thats 12,182 minutes more than us.
Thats 12.3 games played more per player (12182 divided by 90 then divided by 11).
 
ArcspacE said:
Thought we lost that one at home?
Click to expand...

And that was with Bale's little AVB being born, so another extenuating circumstance that meant we lost a key player and tactical plans had to change last minute.

I agree that we've looked good after a week with no game, AVB seems to like getting the lads on the training pitch and drilling the ideas into them. He said after the Everton defeat quite confidently that now he had a week's break before the Swansea game that we'd see a different Spurs and sure enough we went on the 3 month unbeaten run.
 
[table="width: 600, class: grid"]
[tr]
[td]Tottenham[/td]
[td]Chelsea[/td]
[td]Arsenal[/td]
[td]Everton[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Chelsea (A)[/td]
[td]Tottenham (H)[/td]
[td][/td]
[td][/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Emirates Marketing Project (H)[/td]
[td]Liverpool (A)[/td]
[td][/td]
[td][/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Wigan (A)[/td]
[td]Swansea (H)[/td]
[td]Man Utd (H)[/td]
[td]Fulham (H)[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Southampton (H)[/td]
[td]Man Utd (A)[/td]
[td]QPR (A)[/td]
[td]Liverpool (A)[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Stoke (A)[/td]
[td]Aston Villa (A)[/td]
[td]Wigan (H)[/td]
[td]West Ham (A)[/td]
[/tr]
[tr]
[td]Sunderland (H)[/td]
[td]Everton (H)[/td]
[td]Saudi Sportswashing Machine (A)[/td]
[td]Chelsea (A)[/td]
[/tr]
[/table]

I'll weight the teams as follows, expected number of points in brackets (home/away):

Top 1: Man Utd (0/0, anything here is a bonus)

CL contenders: Emirates Marketing Project, Chelsea, Tottenham, Arsenal, Everton, Liverpool (1/1, 10 points in total)

Mid table: Swansea, West Brom, Stoke, Saudi Sportswashing Machine, Fulham, Norwich, West Ham, Southampton (3/1, 32 points in total)

Bottom 5: Sunderland, QPR, Wigan, Reading, Aston Villa (3/3, 30 points in total)

If anyone matched this over the course of a season they would get 72 points. It's mostly intended to rate the different run ins and you never know when teams will start to switch off towards the end of the season.

As it stands:

Arsenal 63
Chelsea 61
Tottenham 58
Everton 56

Predicted outcome:

Arsenal 70 (7/12 points won)
Chelsea 70 (9/18 points won)
Tottenham 70 (12/18 points won)
Everton 62 (6/12 points won)

Using last season's results from the same fixtures:

Chelsea 71
Tottenham 68
Arsenal 64
Everton 62

Key Matches:

Tottenham - Emirates Marketing Project
Liverpool - Chelsea
Arsenal - Man United
Man United - Chelsea
Liverpool - Everton
Chelsea - Tottenham
Chelsea - Everton
 
Predicted outcome:

Arsenal 70 (7/12 points won)
Chelsea 70 (9/18 points won)
Tottenham 70 (12/18 points won)
Everton 62 (6/12 points won)
Click to expand...


Jees that's close. I'm still confident though looking at the fixtures.
 
We have City, Chelsea have Liverpool, then both the scums will play Manure. Then of course what could be the decider in Chelsea - Tottenham and a last grasping at straws with Chelsea - Everton.
 
Are people pretty confident that we'll beat Saints and Wigan? I don't think we'll take maximum points. I actually think it'll be done and dusted with a good three games to spare. Hope i'm wrong like but just a feeling.

5th and the quarters of Europe would represent a good season in my eyes regardless.
 
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